Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.893100 6.465683 7.113944 7.912639 8.885478 10.053506 11.597695
2024-12-29 5.180531 5.915263 6.812751 8.024359 9.678877 11.969349 15.627334
2025-01-05 4.629745 5.444314 6.498598 8.032022 10.349645 14.045038 21.402248
2025-01-12 4.094724 4.910033 6.007543 7.691159 10.441474 15.384430 27.668281
2025-01-19 3.653834 4.443199 5.536716 7.283354 10.319768 16.377181 35.324947
2025-01-26 3.515060 4.369169 5.607731 7.723469 11.831088 21.924707 81.666666
2025-02-02 3.502553 4.469675 5.953400 8.720904 15.027622 37.613832 NaN
2025-02-09 3.386947 4.401975 6.023067 9.255179 17.692605 64.401361 NaN
2025-02-16 3.252374 4.288413 5.997320 9.601132 20.275854 128.501174 NaN
2025-02-23 3.107949 4.143256 5.894165 9.757232 22.548437 370.676644 NaN
2025-03-02 2.899921 3.876905 5.539960 9.253575 21.941025 599.625390 NaN
2025-03-09 2.788676 3.760164 5.446827 9.355861 24.143399 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.584728 3.491496 5.072450 8.766253 23.068446 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.477342 3.377402 4.980885 8.888721 26.094620 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.367971 3.251475 4.852353 8.889194 28.812062 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.231691 3.069937 4.595411 8.476429 28.242433 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.101199 2.890925 4.328687 7.989624 26.690959 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.069365 2.880807 4.400466 8.506949 35.008006 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.082183 2.950143 4.647403 9.698175 63.662694 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.050242 2.935601 4.713055 10.343545 107.916599 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.005991 2.894559 4.713818 10.764026 196.580743 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.953139 2.833414 4.660549 10.953822 391.026417 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.867194 2.704531 4.435629 10.336993 290.989334 NaN NaN